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MLB Baseball Moneyline Tips
Considering that moneylines have to do with the team’s true odds of them winning or not, a baseball bettor can, pretty much, pick winning teams without having a lot of information at their fingertips. Sometimes, a bettor can pick a winner by simply looking at the game docket without having to handicap a MLB game. Here are some facts dealing with MLB moneyline analysis. Betting the American League over the National League A general rule of thumb that many baseball bettors use is that American League (AL) underdogs are typically solid bets. Considering that the AL uses the designated hitter another good bat in the lineup helps the underdog team for whatever reason. Basically, the AL is a better league to wager on rather than the National League (NL). Because of this home underdogs are typically the most solid MLB bets to make. This bet is even better if the home team is one that has a winning record. The reason this makes sense is that the home field advantage should make the home team win the game, or should give them the betting advantage. When to bet the home team Teams that are at home that are starting a rookie on the mound and have a moneyline that is even to -130 are also solid bets to make. Why you ask? Well, the moneyline is made up by such things as who the starting pitchers for a game are and how hot a team is. You can get great value on rookies on the mound. This is generally when the home team is one that has a winning record. When to stick to the moneyline, even if the runline is tempting Teams that are on the road and are favorites having a moneyline from -140 to -170 generally will not cover the posted run line of 1.5. This MLB betting theory has been shown throughout the years. This can be broken down by the simple fact that both teams are pretty even, with the home team only having a slight edge because they are playing at home. Consider home/road records and result of last game Another solid MLB betting strategy that is based on the moneyline is to bet on the big favorite if the team is coming off a loss in their last game in which they were, again, the big favorite. The team looks to regroup and make up for a huge upset and they will always try harder to win the next one at home. For example, if the Yankees lost as a favorite of -220, back the Yankees in their next home game if they are a heavy favorite again. Another solid bet to make is betting on smaller home favorites when they are playing teams that do not have a good road record. Not a lot of baseball bettors take this into account and because of this there is value in this type of bet. In conclusion, betting on MLB baseball is never easy, as even the best teams only tend to win around 60% to 70% of the tine. However, if you implement some of these aforementioned tips when laying MLB bets it may help you win some good dough in the long run.
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