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Short and sweet. I normally avoid the Yankees lkke the plague, but value presents itself. Dallas Braden is hot, so was Trevor Cahill. In any event, CC Sabathia is a raging inferno to Braden’s campfire.
And so I will bite on the Yanks -1.5 at plus money (for now, at least), and if I get burned, I won’t be calling the wambulance.
Isn’t it a bit strange that the game I picked before this one shapes up to be a better pitchers’ duel than Lincecum vs. Jimenez?
This is still a must-see matchup, if for no other reason than to see who busts their slump first.
It makes for tough reading to see Lincecum’s numbers over his last five starts: 0-5,7.88 ERA. Ouch.
Jimenez has been better, but he’s winless over his last four starts, going 0-3. At one point, he looked set for 25 wins. Now 20 isn’t even a sure thing.
For some reason the Rockies are favprites, when, to be frank, it should be -110 for both sides.
There’s no real reason to bite on the Giants, especially when you add in how Lincecum has pitched against Colorado this season (not well).
But at some point, the Giants have to notice that they’re still well within touching distance of the Phillies in the wild card race and that the Padres are doing their best to give them a chance to make the NL West race interesting.
Perhaps last night’s 8th inning was where the light came on. In any event, I’ll bite on the team who’s good at home vs. the team who isn’t good on the road, especially when those tasty plus odds are involved. Giants ML it is.
One good thing about games at Arizona is that, no matter who’s pitching, the total will be inflated for three reasons: 1) the hitter-friendly ballpark, 2) what the D-Backs’ strikeout-prone band of ashers can do when they connect with pitches, and 3) the fact that Arizona’s bullpen isn’t particularly good (to put it mildly).
So, when presented with this matchup and a favorable total that, were this game at Petco Park, would be at least a run lower, if not more, I will gladly oblige.
Now, it is inevitable that both Mat Latos and Barry Enright will get shelled, and with that I just jinxed myself, but I’m aware of the risk, especially in the setting.
But when you have a second-year pitcher who’s pitching well beyond his 22 years (13 straight starts in which he hasn’t allowed more than two runs) and a rookie who’s not pitching like one (nine straight starts with three runor less allowed to start his career), I have plenty of reason to feel confident.
Under 8 for the game. Under 4 first five. And as an added tip, a bit on the D-Backs on the +1.5 and for the W. Good teams don’t often get swept by bad teams, but here’s a spot where the matchup presents an opportunity, especially the effect the first part of this sentence will have on the home team’s value.
Picking the Astros last night resulted in a winner, and it will tonight as well.
Sure, the Cardinals have an excellent chance to get the W everytime their ace takes the hill.
However, the Cards aren’t playing like winners right now, and that sets them up to get knocked back down by the ‘Stros again tonight.
If you got the Astros on the moneyline and/or runline earlier, kudos, as the line has dropped drastically over the last several hours. Dropping as it may be, both the ‘Stros moneyline and runline are both in my sights tonight.
C.J. Wilson is 6-0 in his last eight starts. The Rangers are 7-3 in Wilson’s 10 road starts this season.
Davies was rocked in his last start, and he was rocked in his lone start this season vs. Texas as well.
Normally I don’t take road favorites of this size, much less on the runline, but I like this one. Texas on the -1.5. Enjoy with brisket, beans, and a brew.
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