Kentucky Derby
I have been waiting for this day for weeks now, the 135th running of the Kentucky Derby is here. I have been working in horse for over 15 years part time in various jobs as a groom and in various other jobs and I can tell you this is really one of the great weeks in the whole equestrian world. I usually go to a Derby party, but of course , I have to work today so I will have to take a break and watch the race somewhere. The fact that I have to work and that both of my favorite picks have been scratched and the fact that the conditions look pretty sloppy for the track , all of these make wagering on the race that much harder. I would be real careful wagering alot on this race today.
The truth is there are races all year long that are much easier to make money wagering on. One thing you have to remember in the Derby is that favorites traditionally don’t win here. The biggest challenge that these horses face today face is the distance of 1 1/4 which none of these young 3 year olds have ever run before.
Now a new challenge for the horses that is going to make it harder to handicap this year is the recent inception of polytrack which means that some of today’s contenders have never run on a real dirt track before. If those two complications aren’t enough today will most assuredly feature a wet track, a surface many of today’s horses have yet to experience.
There is a ton of money to be made today if you can pick the exotics. I always shoot for the trifecta by keying a horse or doing an exacta box but I am going to pass today. now that my favorite horses, Quality Road and I want revenge, are not running I think any horse could win this race.
Most horse sites I subscribe to have Friesan fire and Dunkirk and a few have pioneer of the nile [ remember though pioneer of the nile is successful on synthetic tracks]
My pick will be on Dunkirk today but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Friesan fire or even Desert Party or Pioneer of the Nile win it.
I hope everyone wagered on that pick I posted yesterday, Rachel Alexandra, because today wont be that easy.
My picks for the day
updated 1:40 PM
Dunkirk 35 to show
Friesan fire 35 to show
I am going to play this safe, the more I think about it. 35 to show on two of the contenders.
No exotics today with the scratches and track conditions.
nhl
05/02/2009 @ 10:15 AM NHL [6] WAS GM1 -140
risking 50.00 to win 35.71
Cheers
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