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A Bet You ALWAYS Win - How Sports Betting Arbitrage Works
by: Kevin Schultz
Betting arbitrage is a method of creating a bet that has a zero
risk - in other words, you always win! The concept of 'arbitrage' comes
from the financial world, and describes the activities of traders who
find two different places offering the same trade, but at different
prices. They then exploit this difference by selling in one location
and buying in the other. Whatever happens to price, they make a profit
on the difference between the original 2 prices. The same thing applies
to betting arbitrage, typically on sporting events. The advent of online betting sites meant that the punter could
suddenly check prices at a multitude of different locations very
quickly, and open bets at those that had 'slipped' out of line. By
exploiting the inefficiencies of some brokers, a win can therefore be
guaranteed. Sometimes, the differences are deliberate. Each online
betting site has to maintain it's own 'book', and it would be a strange
world indeed if they all had the same number of punters, all betting
the same way and the same amount, meaning they all had to offer the
same odds!
So how does 100% winners, no risk sound? Groovy, huh? But there
are, of course, problems. The main problem is the size of the account
you need to make a useful profit. The difference between the odds
offered by 2 bookies, and exploited by an arbitrageur, may only amount
to a fraction of a percent, meaning that you may have to wager several
thousand dollars to win 5 bucks. Nothing wrong with that, you think?
Not if the bet is 100% guaranteed? But what about if thru the vagaries
of the internet, you manage to get one side of the bet on at the right
odds, but not the other? You are left holding a LARGE position. Also,
accounts of this size are viewed with some suspicion by the bookies -
they will want to know that you aren't (for example) money laundering.
So ok, you know the risks, but how does it actually work? Let's
go back to the US election between Bush and that Herman Munster guy,
the Democrat fella with the long face (Kerry? Curry?). As you recall,
it was close. No one knew for sure which way it would go. But what you
could have done is put on a bet with UK bookie Coral that Kerry would
win, and the odds they would give you would have been 6/4 (i.e. a US
1.5 - bet $800, return $2,000).
At the same time, your fave US bookie might have given you odds
of 6/4 on Bush! That means if you took both bets, you are betting
(risking) $1,600, but will win $2,000 WHATEVER the result! Easy money
or what? Bank a cool $400 for nothing.
How often does this happen? Quite a lot. For example, in a
boxing match, the US champ will, of course be favored by the US
bookies, but the UK challenger will be top bet at the UK bookies.
Simply exploit the difference. It works even within the US too - a
Varsity football match, for example, may find the out of state team
offering you an opportunity to arbitrage within the home team state
depending on the demographics of the customers using two US online
bookies.
Generally, you can bet risk free on any sporting event with
either 2 or 3 outcomes, such as Football, Baseball, Boxing, Basketball,
Tennis, Soccer, Golf, Snooker, Cricket, Hockey, Ice Hockey and Darts.
Are the odds always as good as in the example? No. Usually the
difference will be small. That is why you need large accounts.
Enjoy!
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About The Author
Mr Schultz is a writer for www.supabets.com bet site an archive of free tips and trix for betting fans, where he concentrates on sports betting rules.
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